Learnings from traveling Brazil and Argentina in 2014

I recently had the opportunity to travel to South America for the first time in my life. I visited Buenos Aires in Argentina as well as several cities and islands in Brazil for a period of about 1 month.
Besides the absolutely gorgeous beaches and the amazing caipirinhas we enjoyed almost every day, there are also some interesting economic facts I learned that you may or may not be familiar with.
  • Argentina has extremely strong currency controls and the central bank sets the exchange rate between the Argentine Peso (ARS) and other currencies. For example, the exchange rate between ARS and USD is currently set at 1 USD = 8.56 ARS.
  • You can get a much better exchange rate, the so called ‘blue rate’ if you bring USD cash and exchange it in one of the local cuevas (exchanges), most famously on calle florida in downtown Buenos Aires. Currently 1 USD will fetch about 14 ARS or roughly 60% more than through the official exchanges.
  • You can see the current blue rate here: http://www.dolarblue.net/
  • Exchange dollars for pesos at an exchange rate other than the government defined one is illegal, yet tolerated. Many restaurants, hotels, pharmacies etc will accept dollar bills. They all have slightly different exchange rates, some will give you a better deal than others.
  • Argentines speak Spanish, yet they pronounce ‘ll’ and ‘y’ as ‘sh’. So ‘Yo me llamo Flavio’ will be pronounced Sho me shamo Flavio instead of ‘Jo me jamo Flavio’ like in other Spanish speaking countries. They also use ‘vos’ instead of ‘tu’ in most cases.
  • More people speak Portuguese in South America than Spanish, in other words the population of Brazil (200M) is greater than all other South American countries put together (about 190M). However in Latin America (which includes the large Mexico with over 100M people and some other hispanophone central American countries) we have more Hispanophones than Lusophones in Latin America
  • Brazil is an extremely expensive country if you live in the nicer and safer areas. A regular car costs about twice(!) as much as the same model in the USA. The Economist has an excellent article on why that is the case: http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2013/09/economist-explains-15 – mainly very high import tariffs, high taxes, corruption and an expensive labour market.
  • Brazil has an extremely uneven income distribution, 11th worst in the world. The richest 10% earn 40x that of the poorest 10%. To compare, in the USA the factor is only 16 and in Switzerland it is 9. In other words, if you are rich in Brazil, you have the sweet life and can afford maids, chaffeurs etc easily. If you are poor, you are likely really, really poor, likely live in a favela and have very little chance of economic success. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_income_equality

The 4 ways of achieving long term customer growth

One thing that in my eyes is underrated when thinking about business models and entrepreneurs starting B2C companies is the user growth strategy. In today’s overcrowded world wide web, your user growth strategy needs to be as refined as the value you are providing to users.

When you think about how some of the biggest consumer Internet startups have succeeded in a really big way, there are really only 4 ways that this has happened. Most companies of course use a mix of several of these strategies, but it is often one that has been by far the most active driver of user growth.

1) Extreme value add and brand play

If you build a product that is just so great that it fundamentally changes the way people do a certain thing, if it’s a disruption or a 10x better experience, it is possible to grow your startup through pure word-of-mouth marketing. People will talk about you to their friends, blog about you and send emails around the world promoting you. You simply build a brand by delivering a great product and excellent customer experience. Some examples of companies that have scaled in this way would be Uber and AirBnB.

2) Built-in Virality

If you can create a product that promotes itself by being used, you often have a winner. The classic example here is hotmail, where Tim Draper famously came up with the idea of including a signature in every outgoing email saying “Get your free webmail at hotmail.com”. Another great example was the viral growth of formspring.me. You create a profile where you allow people to anonymously ask you intimate questions. In order to get people to that profile, users start posting their formspring profile to all sorts of social media sites, thus creating free viral growth. Facebook and Twitter also fall into this category, as people started promoting the service to their friends in order to make their experience more complete (facebook) or gain more influence (twitter).

We used this principle when we built pollpigeon.com – you create a poll on twitter and in order to promote it you post it in your twitter feed. People who vote in the poll often feel emotional about what they’ve answered and thus again share that answer with their twitter  followers. The feed-sharing option is default and conveniently links back to pollpigeon.com.

3) High CLV and aggressive ad buys

If you have a business model that generates huge CLV (=Customer Lifetime Value), then it actually makes sense to start buying a lot of ads in order to attract all these users. Groupon comes to mind here. According to their 2011 Q4 Report, they make 188$ per year per existing customer in gross sales. Depending on the margin they have on these spendings (they had about 40% in Q4) they make about 75$ per customer per year. This means you can spend quite a lot of money on acquiring new users. Especially if you factor in the free viral growth – ie every acquired customer will also invite new customers through word of mouth – making him more valuable to the company than what he just spends himself. Groupon and their competitors thus really went rogue with online marketing. In the first 9 months of 2011, Groupon alone had spent more than 600 mio USD on online marketing. Netflix also has quite a decent CLV and besides having wording of mouth spends a lot of money on acquiring new users, 238$ MM in 2009.

4) SEO Play

When you create a service that motivates users to create unique and valuable content on your website, this can often translate into a very powerful marketing and user acquisition strategy. Think Stackoverflow: Everytime you ask or answer a question, you are creating great SEO content for Stackoverflow. Especially in programming, where a lot of engineers are constantly googling answers for their problems. Yelp is also a great example of this.

So when working on your next business idea, think about which of these 4 types of sustainable user growth path your company will be on. If you have one or several of 2, 3, 4 you’re already well set. Of course you still need to have a great product, but having one of those work in your favor will give you a big boost. Way 1) is always possible, but might just longer time.

Thanks to Adalberto Flores and Isabel Pesce for reading drafts of this!

A new beginning

Starting 2012 I will make a return to blogging.

Not that my previous blogging career – which lasted from 2007 to 2009 – was filled with especially insightful posts nor was my departure from it controversial (as other people‘s departure from blogs has been).

In the meantime I was actually working – cofounding the Swiss Groupon Clone DeinDeal.ch which we recently sold to Ringier, the largest Swiss Publishing company. I was the Head of Online Marketing, and if you live in Switzerland you’ve probably seen our ads all over Facebook and other Websites: that is – at least partially – my work.

I’ve since left the firm and spent some time volunteering in Guatemala – a great experience I will post more about soon.

So now I have time on my hands and I am trying to figure out what my passion is so that I can build more value. At this point I am not really sure, as there are so many opportunities and I’m working on finding the one that I can be really passionate about and with that with my skillset and persona I  can really create value.

So what can you expect from this blog?

I will post some interesting lessons learned from my previous occupations and also bring to paper some thoughts/concepts I’ve been having over the last few months as I’ve had more time to read many interesting books/blog posts as well as think about myself, the environment we are in, startup ideas, marketing concepts, business and life in general. There is a power to writing things down, that makes you think clearer and gives depth to ideas and concepts. So I’m using this to clarify my own thoughts as much as I want to share the information here.

I hope to be able to have some insights for some of you and wish all of you all the best for 2012!


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